Articolo sulla Turchia:
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What Turkey teaches about democracy
By M K Bhadrakumar
Last Saturday night, Orange Blossom, the rising star of European dance music, gave an open-air concert in Istanbul, the city of heart's desires. The French band, which played a mix of European electro-beat, West African polyrhythm, haunting Arabic and Middle Eastern melodies and all-stops-out rock, underscored that it knew no borders.
Orange Blossom was on a European tour presenting its latest album, Everything must change. Turks were dazzled.
Only a few hours earlier the Turkish capital of Ankara had witnessed a historic public rally attended by anywhere up to half a million people from all walks of life. Like Orange Blossom, it, too, was "multicultural", comprising political forces of the left and right, including the ultra-right, nationalistic "Grey Wolves".
But, unlike the French band, it called for status quo in Turkish political life. The rally demanded that the borders of the Turkish state system and its unique political culture remain immutable and sacrosanct. Nothing must change. The rallyists chanted, "We do not want an imam in Cankaya [the presidential palace]." At times, they struck a strident anti-Western, anti-globalization tone, calling for a "national awakening".
They chanted, "Don't be silent, or you'll lose your homeland." They exhorted the nation to nip in the bud the possibility that the incumbent prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, might be edging closer to announcing his candidacy for Turkey's forthcoming presidential election. Erdogan, they alleged, represented the "looming Islamic threat" to the secular state of Turkey.
Erdogan and the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) calmly reacted to the political affront. He complimented the rally for its peaceful nature, and appreciated that sections of Turkish opinion were "just using their democratic right". He could have contended that the bottom line in any functioning democracy lay in the will of a lawfully elected Parliament representing the collective aspirations of the Turkish people. But the Islamist leader decided that discretion was the better part of valor.
No sooner had the dust settled in Ankara than he flew to Berlin for a summit meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Erdogan was on a tough mission to try to resuscitate the moribund accession talks between Turkey and the European Union (whose rotating presidency currently lies with Germany). Erdogan made it very clear in Berlin that Turkey had no option but to be part of the European family, no matter how long its EU accession was delayed.
Kemal Mustafa "Ataturk" would have been pleased with the Islamist leader's tenacity in pressing the case for Turkey's destiny in Europe. On his return to Ankara on Wednesday, Erdogan proposes to meet some of the opposition political parties, chair a cabinet meeting, and then address the AKP's central decision-making executive committee regarding the party's candidate for the presidency. It is conceivable that Erdogan may be the AKP's candidate for the presidency. Or, a fallback could be that he might nominate a candidate from the AKP. Erdogan, in essence, will make his choice keeping in view the imperative of the AKP's cohesion as the country's largest political party.
The 85-year-old Turkish state finds itself at a crossroads. But the implications of Erdogan's final choice go far beyond Turkey's borders. Turkey's standing as a regional powerhouse, its strategic location as a bridge between Europe and the Middle East, its historical and cultural heritage in the Muslim world - all these are bound to come into play in the coming months. Meanwhile, Turkey is working itself into a state of frenzy. Commenting on Saturday's rally, the establishment newspaper Turkish Daily News threatened that even if Erdogan was elected president, he wouldn't be allowed to govern in peace.
The daily posed in strident rhetoric, "It was vividly demonstrated [on Saturday] that the silent masses of this country did not want someone incompatible with the secularist principle of the republic in the presidential palace. It was underlined in all clarity that even if someone who does not necessarily represent the "full independence spirit" of the Kemalist doctrine; who may not defend adequately the "honor of the nation"; who rather than science considers theology as his guide; who rather than carrying Turkey to the level of advanced democracies aspires for the re-introduction of sheikhs, brotherhoods and the sharia order is elected as the president of this country, he will not be able to sit comfortably on the presidential seat."
In blunt terms, the daily warned the prime minister and the ruling party, "Having a majority in Parliament does not necessarily empower them to stage whatever they want in whatever fashion they want in this country ... if somehow because of the parliamentary conjecture, someone who is incompatible with the norms of a modern secular democratic republic is to become the new tenant of the presidential mansion ... Turks will gather again in Ankara and force a civilian transfer of the seat of the founder of modern Turkey to someone eligible for that position."
But, in fairness, not all Turkish commentators sounded so arrogant. Some have also pointed out that the self-styled "Kemalist" stance belies logic and fair play. They have pointed out that what passes currently as the current Kemalist contention is contrary to the democratic spirit, and asked how Turkey could consider itself a modern state unless democracy remained as sacrosanct as Turkey's secularist principles.
How, they asked, could democracy and secularism be separated from each other? They pointed a finger at the contradiction of the rallyists on Saturday maintaining an "anti-Western" stance while forgetting that the right of a woman not to wear a headscarf was a Western trait, and that the concepts of democracy and secularism that the rallyists claimed to uphold were essentially Western ideologies.
The present logjam in Turkish politics arises out of various factors. In the good old days, any semblance of an "Islamist awakening" in Turkey would have provided the excuse for a military takeover. But in present-day Turkey, an outright military coup is unthinkable. All that is possible is what the Turks themselves light-heartedly call a "post-modern coup". That is, an arrogation of power by the Kemalists in league with the country's establishment, riding a wave of Turkish nationalism.
Without doubt, Turkish nationalism has been on the ascendancy in the recent period on account of various factors - the EU's perceived snub of Turkey's claim to membership; war in neighboring Iraq and resultant regional instability; the deteriorating security situation in the east stemming from Kurdish militancy; and so on.
But at the same time, even though the ruling AKP is an Islamist party, it enjoys a substantial political base and commands an unassailable two-third parliamentary majority. The other political parties find themselves in varying degrees of disrepute and are lacking in credibility as a viable alternative to the AKP.
Besides, the AKP government has met with considerable success in stabilizing the country's economy by sustaining a steady high level of growth while keeping inflation under check. The economic policies have been generally responsive to the needs of different segments such as business, farmers, pensioners and government employees.
Above all, with the experience of running the government the AKP has also gained mastery to an extent over the working of Turkey's state system - its formidable bureaucracy, its enigmatic judiciary and its brawny security agencies.
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